All games

Sat, Aug 29 ยท 10:00 PM ET

Memphis at UNLV

UNLV favored by 4.5 ยท total 55.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

MemphisTigers

Away ยท American Athletic

+4.5

+160

ML

UNLVRebels

Home ยท Mountain West

-4.5

-192

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadMemphis +4.5โ€”
SpreadUNLV -4.5โ€”
TotalOver 55.5โ€”
TotalUnder 55.5โ€”
MoneylineMemphis to win+160
MoneylineUNLV to win-192

Returning production

MemphisUNLV
Overall6%15%
Passing2%4%
Rushing0%31%
Receiving11%14%

The read

  • Played indoors, so weather is off the table entirely.
  • The spread has moved from -6 to -4.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

MemphispercentileUNLV

With the ball

86Efficiency (PPA)25
91Success rate9
58Explosiveness55
90Points per trip13

Without it

49Efficiency allowed72
61Success rate allowed67
58Havoc63
7Stuff rate28

Last three seasons

Memphis

11-10-2 ATS ยท 16-7 SU

13-10 O/U ยท 5-4 away

UNLV

13-12 ATS ยท 18-7 SU

11-14 O/U ยท 3-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 4.5 โ€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 55.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayMemphis#67 (+0.3)scores 29 ยท allows 29.2
HomeUNLV#55 (+3.6)scores 31.4 ยท allows 28

SP+ implies UNLV -4.8 versus the market's -4.5

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total55.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-6 โ†’ -4.5+1.5

Total

57.5 โ†’ 55.5-2.0

flips 1.3%200 checks ยท Aug 14 โ€“ Aug 29

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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