Sat, Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Mercyhurst at Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky favored by 39.5 · total 58.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
MercyhurstLakers
Away · NEC
+39.5
—
ML
Western KentuckyHilltoppers
Home · Conference USA
-39.5
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Mercyhurst | Western Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 84% |
| Passing | — | 95% |
| Rushing | — | 55% |
| Receiving | — | 85% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -38.5 to -39.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Western Kentucky
15-9 ATS · 15-9 SU
10-14 O/U · 7-3 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 39.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 58.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-38.5 → -39.5-1.0
Total
56.5 → 58.5+2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.