Sat, Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Mississippi Valley at Sacramento State
Sacramento State favored by 38.5 · total 56.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Mississippi Valley
Away
+38.5
—
ML
Sacramento StateHornets
Home · Mid-American
-38.5
—
ML
Tracking isn't available for this game — we couldn't match both teams to our results feed, and we won't take a pick we can't grade.
The read
- The spread has moved from -37.5 to -38.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 38.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-37.5 → -38.5-1.0
Total
56.5 → 56.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.