All games

Fri, Sep 11 ยท 8:00 PM ET

Missouri at Kansas

Missouri favored by 4 ยท total 51.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

MissouriTigers

Away ยท SEC

-4

-198

ML

KansasJayhawks

Home ยท Big 12

+4

+164

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadMissouri -4โ€”
SpreadKansas +4โ€”
TotalOver 51.5โ€”
TotalUnder 51.5โ€”
MoneylineMissouri to win-198
MoneylineKansas to win+164

Returning production

MissouriKansas
Overall42%18%
Passing-2%*-2%*
Rushing78%15%
Receiving33%33%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • The spread has moved from 6.5 to 4 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

MissouripercentileKansas

With the ball

64Efficiency (PPA)57
45Success rate58
66Explosiveness86
48Points per trip45

Without it

89Efficiency allowed76
94Success rate allowed84
97Havoc86
91Stuff rate96

Last three seasons

Missouri

13-10-1 ATS ยท 16-8 SU

11-12 O/U ยท 5-4 away

Kansas

9-12-1 ATS ยท 8-14 SU

9-11-1 O/U ยท 2-3-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 4 โ€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayMissouri#19 (+15.4)scores 32.3 ยท allows 16.4
HomeKansas#58 (+3.3)scores 28.8 ยท allows 26.1

SP+ implies Kansas +5.6 versus the market's +4 โ€” a 1.6-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total51.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

6.5 โ†’ 4-2.5

Total

50.5 โ†’ 51.5+1.0

flips 2.7%200 checks ยท Sep 6 โ€“ Sep 11

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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