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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 6:30 PM ET

Monmouth at Western Michigan

Western Michigan favored by 29.5 ยท total 54.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

MonmouthHawks

Away ยท Coastal Athletic

+29.5

+1800

ML

Western MichiganBroncos

Home ยท Mid-American

-29.5

-5000

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadMonmouth +29.5โ€”
SpreadWestern Michigan -29.5โ€”
TotalOver 54.5โ€”
TotalUnder 54.5โ€”
MoneylineMonmouth to win+1800
MoneylineWestern Michigan to win-5000

Returning production

MonmouthWestern Michigan
Overallโ€”100%
Passingโ€”100%
Rushingโ€”100%
Receivingโ€”100%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -25.5 to -29.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 28, changing the result in 3.9% of historical games.
  • A total of 54.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

MonmouthpercentileWestern Michigan

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)49
โ€”Success rate46
โ€”Explosiveness17
โ€”Points per trip71

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed51
โ€”Success rate allowed36
โ€”Havoc20
โ€”Stuff rate28

Last three seasons

Monmouth

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 0-1 away

Western Michigan

14-10-1 ATS ยท 15-10 SU

11-14 O/U ยท 7-2 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 29.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 54.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total54.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-25.5 โ†’ -29.5-4.0

Total

52.5 โ†’ 54.5+2.0

crossed 28 ยท flips 3.9%122 checks ยท Sep 9 โ€“ Sep 12

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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