Sat, Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET
New Mexico at Hawaii
New Mexico favored by 14.5 · total 44.5
New MexicoLobos
Away · Mountain West
-14.5
-110
-675
ML
HawaiiRainbow Warriors
Home · Mountain West
+14.5
-110
+490
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| New Mexico | Hawai'i | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58% | 65% |
| Passing | 74% | 91% |
| Rushing | 71% | 21% |
| Receiving | 43% | 52% |
Player props · 24 players
Anytime TD
+18 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- Forecast winds around 15 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- At 14.5 the line sits just past 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- A total of 44.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 15.3 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
New Mexico
15-9 ATS · 13-11 SU
13-11 O/U · 9-4 away
Hawai'i
14-9-1 ATS · 13-11 SU
9-15 O/U · 11-2-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 14.5 — the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
- Total 44.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Hawaii -0.8 versus the market's +14.5 — a 15.3-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
14.5 → 14.5unmoved
Total
45.5 → 44.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.