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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 4:15 PM ET

North Alabama at Arkansas

Arkansas favored by 40.5 ยท total 63.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

North AlabamaLions

Away ยท UAC

+40.5

โ€”

ML

ArkansasRazorbacks

Home ยท SEC

-40.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorth Alabama +40.5โ€”
SpreadArkansas -40.5โ€”
TotalOver 63.5โ€”
TotalUnder 63.5โ€”

Returning production

North AlabamaArkansas
Overallโ€”15%
Passingโ€”19%
Rushingโ€”15%
Receivingโ€”12%

The read

  • A total of 63.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

North AlabamapercentileArkansas

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)13
โ€”Success rate43
โ€”Explosiveness1
โ€”Points per trip24

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed14
โ€”Success rate allowed29
โ€”Havoc19
โ€”Stuff rate14

Last three seasons

Arkansas

9-13 ATS ยท 6-16 SU

13-9 O/U ยท 3-8 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 40.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 63.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total63.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -40.5 and the total at 63.5 across 200 checks between Aug 31 โ€“ Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.