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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 7:15 PM ET

North Dakota at Nebraska

Nebraska favored by 27.5 ยท total 56.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

North DakotaFighting Hawks

Away ยท MVFC

+27.5

+1300

ML

NebraskaCornhuskers

Home ยท Big Ten

-27.5

-2800

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadNorth Dakota +27.5โ€”
SpreadNebraska -27.5โ€”
TotalOver 56.5โ€”
TotalUnder 56.5โ€”
MoneylineNorth Dakota to win+1300
MoneylineNebraska to win-2800

Returning production

North DakotaNebraska
Overallโ€”46%
Passingโ€”5%
Rushingโ€”30%
Receivingโ€”74%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -24.5 to -27.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

North DakotapercentileNebraska

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)88
โ€”Success rate72
โ€”Explosiveness91
โ€”Points per trip91

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed87
โ€”Success rate allowed92
โ€”Havoc79
โ€”Stuff rate62

Last three seasons

Nebraska

9-12-2 ATS ยท 11-12 SU

13-10 O/U ยท 5-5-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 27.5 โ€” the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 56.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total56.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-24.5 โ†’ -27.5-3.0

Total

51.5 โ†’ 56.5+5.0

flips 2.5%141 checks ยท Sep 15 โ€“ Sep 19

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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