Sat, Oct 10 · 3:40 PM ET
Oklahoma at Texas
Texas favored by 7.5 · total 40.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
OklahomaSooners
Away · SEC
+7.5
+275
ML
TexasLonghorns
Home · SEC
-7.5
-345
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Oklahoma | Texas | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 63% | 72% |
| Passing | 92% | 85% |
| Rushing | 122%* | 126%* |
| Receiving | 42% | 55% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- Neutral site, so neither team gets home-field advantage — worth about 2.6 points in college football, more than most lines move all week.
- At 7.5 the line sits just past 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -8.5 to -7.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 40.5 sits among the lowest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 4.8 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Oklahoma
13-11-1 ATS · 15-10 SU
9-16 O/U · 6-2 away
Texas
13-15 ATS · 22-6 SU
11-16-1 O/U · 8-5 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 7.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 40.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Texas -2.7 versus the market's -7.5 — a 4.8-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-8.5 → -7.5+1.0
Total
39.5 → 40.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.