Sat, Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Ole Miss at Florida
Florida favored by 4 · total 58.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Ole MissRebels
Away · SEC
+4
+145
ML
FloridaGators
Home · SEC
-4
-175
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Ole Miss | Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 50% | 69% |
| Passing | 79% | 94% |
| Rushing | 84% | 89% |
| Receiving | 19% | 52% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -3 to -4 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Ole Miss
16-10 ATS · 21-5 SU
9-17 O/U · 5-3 away
Florida
13-9 ATS · 10-12 SU
11-11 O/U · 6-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 4 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 58.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Florida -1.7 versus the market's -4 — a 2.3-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-3 → -4-1.0
Total
60.5 → 58.5-2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.