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Sat, Oct 3 ยท 6:05 PM ET

Oregon State at Colorado State

Oregon State favored by 7 ยท total 60.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Oregon StateBeavers

Away ยท Pac-12

-7

-258

ML

Colorado StateRams

Home ยท Pac-12

+7

+210

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadOregon State -7โ€”
SpreadColorado State +7โ€”
TotalOver 60.5โ€”
TotalUnder 60.5โ€”
MoneylineOregon State to win-258
MoneylineColorado State to win+210

Returning production

Oregon StateColorado State
Overall58%40%
Passing90%23%
Rushing144%*-28%*
Receiving41%58%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • Forecast winds around 15 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones โ€” but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
  • The number sits exactly on 7, one of the margins college games land on most often โ€” so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
  • The spread has moved from 5.5 to 7 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 60.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 5.5 points โ€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

Oregon StatepercentileColorado State

With the ball

88Efficiency (PPA)84
92Success rate65
70Explosiveness97
93Points per trip88

Without it

59Efficiency allowed5
54Success rate allowed0
65Havoc43
26Stuff rate6

Last three seasons

Oregon State

7-15 ATS ยท 6-16 SU

8-13-1 O/U ยท 2-8 away

Colorado State

11-11-1 ATS ยท 8-15 SU

10-13 O/U ยท 6-5-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 7 โ€” the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 60.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayOregon State#89 (-5.6)scores 21.2 ยท allows 26.1
HomeColorado State#105 (-11.6)scores 16.8 ยท allows 28.3

SP+ implies Colorado State +1.5 versus the market's +7 โ€” a 5.5-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total60.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

5.5 โ†’ 7+1.5

Total

61.5 โ†’ 60.5-1.0

flips 1.5%200 checks ยท Sep 28 โ€“ Oct 3

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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