Sat, Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ET
Oregon State at UTEP
Oregon State favored by 11.5 · total 56.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Oregon StateBeavers
Away · Pac-12
-11.5
-455
ML
UTEPMiners
Home · Mountain West
+11.5
+350
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Oregon State | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58% | -1%* |
| Passing | 90% | 18% |
| Rushing | 144%* | -31%* |
| Receiving | 41% | 15% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The spread has moved from 10.5 to 11.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 4.8 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Oregon State
7-15 ATS · 6-16 SU
8-13-1 O/U · 2-8 away
UTEP
7-15 ATS · 4-18 SU
13-9 O/U · 2-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies UTEP +6.7 versus the market's +11.5 — a 4.8-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
10.5 → 11.5+1.0
Total
53.5 → 56.5+3.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.