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Fri, Sep 18 ยท 10:30 PM ET

Portland State at Oregon

Oregon favored by 58.5 ยท total 71.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Portland StateVikings

Away ยท Big Sky

+58.5

โ€”

ML

OregonDucks

Home ยท Big Ten

-58.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadPortland State +58.5โ€”
SpreadOregon -58.5โ€”
TotalOver 71.5โ€”
TotalUnder 71.5โ€”

Returning production

Portland StateOregon
Overallโ€”75%
Passingโ€”95%
Rushingโ€”68%
Receivingโ€”64%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -57.5 to -58.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 71.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Portland StatepercentileOregon

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)40
โ€”Success rate33
โ€”Explosiveness91
โ€”Points per trip81

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed71
โ€”Success rate allowed64
โ€”Havoc55
โ€”Stuff rate44

Last three seasons

Portland State

2-0 ATS ยท 0-2 SU

1-1 O/U ยท 2-0 away

Oregon

14-12 ATS ยท 23-3 SU

13-13 O/U ยท 6-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 58.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 71.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total71.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-57.5 โ†’ -58.5-1.0

Total

66.5 โ†’ 71.5+5.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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