Sat, Oct 3 ยท 4:20 PM ET
Purdue at Illinois
Illinois favored by 10 ยท total 62.5
Game has kicked off โ lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

PurdueBoilermakers
Away ยท Big Ten
+10
+295
ML

IllinoisFighting Illini
Home ยท Big Ten
-10
-375
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ or as well โ and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Purdue | Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 48% | 21% |
| Passing | 97% | 3% |
| Rushing | 61% | 34% |
| Receiving | 22% | 31% |
The read
- The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often โ so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- A total of 62.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Purdue
7-15 ATS ยท 1-21 SU
11-11 O/U ยท 4-7 away
Illinois
14-7-1 ATS ยท 15-7 SU
8-14 O/U ยท 8-3-1 home
A record, not a signal โ we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 10 โ the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 62.5 โ this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ see every band.
SP+ team strength ยท 2026
SP+ implies Illinois -11.2 versus the market's -10 โ a 1.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick โ tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-10 โ -10unmoved
Total
60.5 โ 62.5+2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.