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Sat, Oct 3 ยท 4:20 PM ET

Purdue at Illinois

Illinois favored by 10 ยท total 62.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

PurdueBoilermakers

Away ยท Big Ten

+10

+295

ML

IllinoisFighting Illini

Home ยท Big Ten

-10

-375

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadPurdue +10โ€”
SpreadIllinois -10โ€”
TotalOver 62.5โ€”
TotalUnder 62.5โ€”
MoneylinePurdue to win+295
MoneylineIllinois to win-375

Returning production

PurdueIllinois
Overall48%21%
Passing97%3%
Rushing61%34%
Receiving22%31%

The read

  • The number sits exactly on 10, one of the margins college games land on most often โ€” so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
  • A total of 62.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

PurduepercentileIllinois

With the ball

85Efficiency (PPA)75
72Success rate86
50Explosiveness59
43Points per trip51

Without it

7Efficiency allowed3
11Success rate allowed12
24Havoc8
7Stuff rate34

Last three seasons

Purdue

7-15 ATS ยท 1-21 SU

11-11 O/U ยท 4-7 away

Illinois

14-7-1 ATS ยท 15-7 SU

8-14 O/U ยท 8-3-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 10 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 62.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayPurdue#78 (-2.2)scores 24.2 ยท allows 27
HomeIllinois#28 (+10.4)scores 32 ยท allows 22.1

SP+ implies Illinois -11.2 versus the market's -10 โ€” a 1.2-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total62.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-10 โ†’ -10unmoved

Total

60.5 โ†’ 62.5+2.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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