Sat, Sep 26 · 10:00 PM ET
Rice at Fresno State
Fresno State favored by 12.5 · total 43.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
RiceOwls
Away · American Athletic
+12.5
+340
ML
Fresno StateBulldogs
Home · Pac-12
-12.5
-489
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Rice | Fresno State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39% | 38% |
| Passing | -317%* | 7% |
| Rushing | 77% | 17% |
| Receiving | 54% | 70% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The spread has moved from -13.5 to -12.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 43.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Rice
9-13-1 ATS · 8-15 SU
9-13 O/U · 4-6-1 away
Fresno State
12-11-1 ATS · 13-11 SU
8-16 O/U · 6-5 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 12.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 43.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Fresno State -12 versus the market's -12.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-13.5 → -12.5+1.0
Total
44.5 → 43.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.