Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Texas Tech favored by 34.5 · total 55.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Sam HoustonBearkats
Away · Conference USA
+34.5
—
ML
Texas TechRed Raiders
Home · Big 12
-34.5
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Sam Houston | Texas Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 58% | 53% |
| Passing | -31%* | 27% |
| Rushing | -3%* | 99% |
| Receiving | 57% | 57% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The spread has moved from -35.5 to -34.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Sam Houston
10-14 ATS · 12-12 SU
11-13 O/U · 3-8 away
Texas Tech
17-6-1 ATS · 17-7 SU
11-13 O/U · 8-2-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 34.5 — the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9–51.3%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Texas Tech -35.1 versus the market's -34.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-35.5 → -34.5+1.0
Total
54.5 → 55.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.