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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Southeastern Louisiana at South Alabama

South Alabama favored by 13.5 ยท total 53.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Southeastern LouisianaLions

Away ยท Southland

+13.5

+425

ML

South AlabamaJaguars

Home ยท Sun Belt

-13.5

-575

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadSoutheastern Louisiana +13.5โ€”
SpreadSouth Alabama -13.5โ€”
TotalOver 53.5โ€”
TotalUnder 53.5โ€”
MoneylineSoutheastern Louisiana to win+425
MoneylineSouth Alabama to win-575

Returning production

SE LouisianaSouth Alabama
Overallโ€”79%
Passingโ€”95%
Rushingโ€”62%
Receivingโ€”80%

The read

  • At 13.5 the line sits just short of 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -12.5 to -13.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 53.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

SE LouisianapercentileSouth Alabama

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)76
โ€”Success rate51
โ€”Explosiveness85
โ€”Points per trip74

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed7
โ€”Success rate allowed1
โ€”Havoc60
โ€”Stuff rate47

Last three seasons

South Alabama

9-13 ATS ยท 9-13 SU

10-12 O/U ยท 3-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 13.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 53.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total53.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-12.5 โ†’ -13.5-1.0

Total

52.5 โ†’ 53.5+1.0

flips 0.9%200 checks ยท Aug 31 โ€“ Sep 5

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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