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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Southern Utah at Colorado State

Colorado State favored by 19.5 ยท total 57.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Southern UtahThunderbirds

Away ยท Big Sky

+19.5

+800

ML

Colorado StateRams

Home ยท Pac-12

-19.5

-1350

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadSouthern Utah +19.5โ€”
SpreadColorado State -19.5โ€”
TotalOver 57.5โ€”
TotalUnder 57.5โ€”
MoneylineSouthern Utah to win+800
MoneylineColorado State to win-1350

Returning production

Southern UtahColorado State
Overallโ€”40%
Passingโ€”23%
Rushingโ€”-28%*
Receivingโ€”58%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • The spread has moved from -20.5 to -19.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 57.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Southern UtahpercentileColorado State

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)84
โ€”Success rate65
โ€”Explosiveness97
โ€”Points per trip88

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed5
โ€”Success rate allowed0
โ€”Havoc43
โ€”Stuff rate6

Last three seasons

Colorado State

11-11-1 ATS ยท 8-15 SU

10-13 O/U ยท 6-5-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 19.5 โ€” the 17-21 point band. In 639 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.1โ€“54.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 57.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two โ€” though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total57.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-20.5 โ†’ -19.5+1.0

Total

56.5 โ†’ 57.5+1.0

flips 0.9%123 checks ยท Sep 9 โ€“ Sep 12

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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