Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
Tarleton State at Bowling Green
Bowling Green favored by 1.5 · total 49.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Tarleton StateTexans
Away · UAC
+1.5
+100
ML
Bowling GreenFalcons
Home · Mid-American
-1.5
-120
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Tarleton State | Bowling Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | -6%* |
| Passing | — | 940%* |
| Rushing | — | 0% |
| Receiving | — | 3% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- 60% chance of rain at kickoff.
- The spread has moved from -2.5 to -1.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 49.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Tarleton State
0-1 ATS · 0-1 SU
0-1 O/U
Bowling Green
9-13 ATS · 9-13 SU
9-13 O/U · 3-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 49.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-2.5 → -1.5+1.0
Total
47.5 → 49.5+2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.