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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 3:00 PM ET

Temple at Toledo

Toledo favored by 4.5 ยท total 48.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

TempleOwls

Away ยท American Athletic

+4.5

+164

ML

ToledoRockets

Home ยท Mid-American

-4.5

-198

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadTemple +4.5โ€”
SpreadToledo -4.5โ€”
TotalOver 48.5โ€”
TotalUnder 48.5โ€”
MoneylineTemple to win+164
MoneylineToledo to win-198

Returning production

TempleToledo
Overall37%66%
Passing0%99%
Rushing23%26%
Receiving69%58%

The read

  • 67% chance of rain at kickoff.
  • A total of 48.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

TemplepercentileToledo

With the ball

66Efficiency (PPA)75
50Success rate46
42Explosiveness93
20Points per trip51

Without it

17Efficiency allowed70
14Success rate allowed86
1Havoc28
16Stuff rate70

Last three seasons

Temple

12-11 ATS ยท 7-16 SU

13-9-1 O/U ยท 5-7 away

Toledo

13-11 ATS ยท 14-10 SU

12-12 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 4.5 โ€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 48.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayTemple#99 (-9.1)scores 25 ยท allows 34.4
HomeToledo#99 (-9.1)scores 17.9 ยท allows 26.6

SP+ implies Toledo -2.6 versus the market's -4.5 โ€” a 1.9-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total48.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-4.5 โ†’ -4.5unmoved

Total

52.5 โ†’ 48.5-4.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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