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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Tennessee at Georgia Tech

Tennessee favored by 12.5 ยท total 55.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

TennesseeVolunteers

Away ยท SEC

-12.5

-485

ML

Georgia TechYellow Jackets

Home ยท ACC

+12.5

+370

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadTennessee -12.5โ€”
SpreadGeorgia Tech +12.5โ€”
TotalOver 55.5โ€”
TotalUnder 55.5โ€”
MoneylineTennessee to win-485
MoneylineGeorgia Tech to win+370

Returning production

TennesseeGeorgia Tech
Overall35%13%
Passing7%0%
Rushing48%35%
Receiving52%11%

The read

  • 62% chance of rain at kickoff.
  • A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 7.3 points โ€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

TennesseepercentileGeorgia Tech

With the ball

57Efficiency (PPA)60
49Success rate64
36Explosiveness64
80Points per trip33

Without it

96Efficiency allowed15
70Success rate allowed37
95Havoc36
59Stuff rate29

Last three seasons

Tennessee

10-14 ATS ยท 16-8 SU

14-10 O/U ยท 4-5 away

Georgia Tech

11-12-1 ATS ยท 14-10 SU

10-14 O/U ยท 5-3-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 12.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 55.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayTennessee#14 (+17.3)scores 39.3 ยท allows 22.4
HomeGeorgia Tech#42 (+5.9)scores 28.7 ยท allows 23.4

SP+ implies Georgia Tech +5.2 versus the market's +12.5 โ€” a 7.3-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total55.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

12.5 โ†’ 12.5unmoved

Total

55.5 โ†’ 55.5unmoved

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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