Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Toledo favored by 6.5 · total 52.5
ToledoRockets
Away · Mid-American
-6.5
-118
-245
ML
Eastern MichiganEagles
Home · Mid-American
+6.5
-102
+200
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Toledo | Eastern Michigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 66% | 72% |
| Passing | 99% | 97% |
| Rushing | 26% | 49% |
| Receiving | 58% | 64% |
Player props · 22 players
Anytime TD
+16 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- Forecast winds around 17 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- At 6.5 the line sits just short of 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from 5.5 to 6.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 4.3 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Toledo
13-11 ATS · 14-10 SU
12-12 O/U · 5-7 away
Eastern Michigan
13-8-1 ATS · 8-14 SU
12-10 O/U · 7-2-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 6.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Eastern Michigan +2.2 versus the market's +6.5 — a 4.3-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
5.5 → 6.5+1.0
Total
52.5 → 52.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.