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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 3:30 PM ET

Tulane at Duke

Duke favored by 9.5 ยท total 51.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

TulaneGreen Wave

Away ยท American Athletic

+9.5

+300

ML

DukeBlue Devils

Home ยท ACC

-9.5

-380

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadTulane +9.5โ€”
SpreadDuke -9.5โ€”
TotalOver 51.5โ€”
TotalUnder 51.5โ€”
MoneylineTulane to win+300
MoneylineDuke to win-380

Returning production

TulaneDuke
Overall21%17%
Passing0%4%
Rushing60%43%
Receiving28%20%

The read

  • At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

TulanepercentileDuke

With the ball

29Efficiency (PPA)80
3Success rate53
99Explosiveness80
7Points per trip82

Without it

21Efficiency allowed59
46Success rate allowed62
2Havoc60
12Stuff rate58

Last three seasons

Tulane

14-11-1 ATS ยท 18-8 SU

11-15 O/U ยท 8-5 away

Duke

14-8-2 ATS ยท 16-8 SU

14-10 O/U ยท 6-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 9.5 โ€” the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayTulane#86 (-4.3)scores 22.8 ยท allows 27.7
HomeDuke#44 (+5.6)scores 32.8 ยท allows 27.6

SP+ implies Duke -9.3 versus the market's -9.5

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total51.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-9.5 โ†’ -9.5unmoved

Total

50.5 โ†’ 51.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.