Sat, Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET
UCLA at California
UCLA favored by 2.5 · total 53.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
UCLABruins
Away · Big Ten
-2.5
-142
ML
CaliforniaGolden Bears
Home · ACC
+2.5
+120
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| UCLA | California | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 57% | 58% |
| Passing | 55% | 89% |
| Rushing | 86% | 0% |
| Receiving | 34% | 43% |
The read
- At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from 1.5 to 2.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 53.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.5 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
UCLA
9-13 ATS · 7-15 SU
9-13 O/U · 6-4 away
California
11-13 ATS · 11-13 SU
8-14-2 O/U · 5-6 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 2.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 53.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies California -1 versus the market's +2.5 — a 3.5-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
1.5 → 2.5+1.0
Total
54.5 → 53.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.