All games

Sat, Oct 3 ยท 7:05 PM ET

ULM at South Alabama

South Alabama favored by 12.5 ยท total 56.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

ULMWarhawks

Away ยท Sun Belt

+12.5

+410

ML

South AlabamaJaguars

Home ยท Sun Belt

-12.5

-550

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadULM +12.5โ€”
SpreadSouth Alabama -12.5โ€”
TotalOver 56.5โ€”
TotalUnder 56.5โ€”
MoneylineULM to win+410
MoneylineSouth Alabama to win-550

Returning production

UL MonroeSouth Alabama
Overall39%79%
Passing78%95%
Rushing16%62%
Receiving26%80%

The read

  • 67% chance of rain at kickoff.
  • The spread has moved from -14 to -12.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

UL MonroepercentileSouth Alabama

With the ball

9Efficiency (PPA)76
47Success rate51
20Explosiveness85
21Points per trip74

Without it

2Efficiency allowed7
1Success rate allowed1
3Havoc60
13Stuff rate47

Last three seasons

UL Monroe

9-12 ATS ยท 6-15 SU

11-10 O/U ยท 5-7 away

South Alabama

9-13 ATS ยท 9-13 SU

10-12 O/U ยท 3-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 12.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 56.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayULM#136 (-28.9)scores 11.9 ยท allows 40.1
HomeSouth Alabama#116 (-14.6)scores 22 ยท allows 35.9

SP+ implies South Alabama -12.3 versus the market's -12.5

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total56.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-14 โ†’ -12.5+1.5

Total

55.5 โ†’ 56.5+1.0

flips 0.9%200 checks ยท Sep 28 โ€“ Oct 3

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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