Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
ULM at UAB
UAB favored by 9.5 · total 53.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
ULMWarhawks
Away · Sun Belt
+9.5
+285
ML
UABBlazers
Home · American Athletic
-9.5
-360
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| UL Monroe | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39% | 80% |
| Passing | 78% | 100% |
| Rushing | 16% | 63% |
| Receiving | 26% | 74% |
The read
- At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -10.5 to -9.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 10, changing the result in 2.5% of historical games.
- A total of 53.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
UL Monroe
9-12 ATS · 6-15 SU
11-10 O/U · 5-7 away
UAB
7-14 ATS · 5-16 SU
10-9-1 O/U · 3-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 9.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 53.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies UAB -10.3 versus the market's -9.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-10.5 → -9.5+1.0
Total
55.5 → 53.5-2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.