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Sat, Sep 26 ยท 12:00 PM ET

UNLV at Akron

UNLV favored by 13.5 ยท total 52.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

UNLVRebels

Away ยท Mountain West

-13.5

-550

ML

AkronZips

Home ยท Mid-American

+13.5

+410

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadUNLV -13.5โ€”
SpreadAkron +13.5โ€”
TotalOver 52.5โ€”
TotalUnder 52.5โ€”
MoneylineUNLV to win-550
MoneylineAkron to win+410

Returning production

UNLVAkron
Overall15%92%
Passing4%87%
Rushing31%102%*
Receiving14%92%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • At 13.5 the line sits just short of 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from 12.5 to 13.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

UNLVpercentileAkron

With the ball

25Efficiency (PPA)23
9Success rate31
55Explosiveness9
13Points per trip42

Without it

72Efficiency allowed10
67Success rate allowed20
63Havoc14
28Stuff rate33

Last three seasons

UNLV

13-12 ATS ยท 18-7 SU

11-14 O/U ยท 7-5 away

Akron

12-9 ATS ยท 8-13 SU

11-10 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 13.5 โ€” the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3โ€“51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 52.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayUNLV#55 (+3.6)scores 31.4 ยท allows 28
HomeAkron#130 (-22.9)scores 11.3 ยท allows 33.6

SP+ implies Akron +15.4 versus the market's +13.5 โ€” a 1.9-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total52.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

12.5 โ†’ 13.5+1.0

Total

50.5 โ†’ 52.5+2.0

flips 0.9%200 checks ยท Sep 21 โ€“ Sep 26

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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