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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 7:00 PM ET

UT Martin at Memphis

Memphis favored by 33.5 ยท total 58.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

UT MartinSkyhawks

Away ยท OVC

+33.5

+4100

ML

MemphisTigers

Home ยท American Athletic

-33.5

-10000

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadUT Martin +33.5โ€”
SpreadMemphis -33.5โ€”
TotalOver 58.5โ€”
TotalUnder 58.5โ€”
MoneylineUT Martin to win+4100
MoneylineMemphis to win-10000

Returning production

UT MartinMemphis
Overallโ€”6%
Passingโ€”2%
Rushingโ€”0%
Receivingโ€”11%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -34.5 to -33.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

UT MartinpercentileMemphis

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)86
โ€”Success rate91
โ€”Explosiveness58
โ€”Points per trip90

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed49
โ€”Success rate allowed61
โ€”Havoc58
โ€”Stuff rate7

Last three seasons

UT Martin

1-1 ATS ยท 1-1 SU

0-2 O/U ยท 1-1 away

Memphis

11-10-2 ATS ยท 16-7 SU

13-10 O/U ยท 5-5-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 33.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 58.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total58.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-34.5 โ†’ -33.5+1.0

Total

57.5 โ†’ 58.5+1.0

flips 0.7%141 checks ยท Sep 15 โ€“ Sep 19

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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