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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 3:30 PM ET

UT Rio Grande Valley at UTSA

UTSA favored by 28.5 ยท total 59.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

UT Rio Grande ValleyVaqueros

Away ยท Southland

+28.5

+2000

ML

UTSARoadrunners

Home ยท American Athletic

-28.5

-6500

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadUT Rio Grande Valley +28.5โ€”
SpreadUTSA -28.5โ€”
TotalOver 59.5โ€”
TotalUnder 59.5โ€”
MoneylineUT Rio Grande Valley to win+2000
MoneylineUTSA to win-6500

Returning production

UT Rio Grande ValleyUTSA
Overallโ€”67%
Passingโ€”93%
Rushingโ€”36%
Receivingโ€”61%

The read

  • Played indoors, so weather is off the table entirely.
  • A total of 59.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

UT Rio Grande ValleypercentileUTSA

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)69
โ€”Success rate70
โ€”Explosiveness11
โ€”Points per trip26

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed62
โ€”Success rate allowed49
โ€”Havoc12
โ€”Stuff rate39

Last three seasons

UTSA

14-11 ATS ยท 14-11 SU

17-7-1 O/U ยท 10-2 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 28.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 59.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total59.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -28.5 and the total at 59.5 across 200 checks between Aug 31 โ€“ Sep 5. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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