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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 3:30 PM ET

Wagner at California

California favored by 58.5 ยท total 65.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

WagnerSeahawks

Away ยท NEC

+58.5

โ€”

ML

CaliforniaGolden Bears

Home ยท ACC

-58.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadWagner +58.5โ€”
SpreadCalifornia -58.5โ€”
TotalOver 65.5โ€”
TotalUnder 65.5โ€”

Returning production

WagnerCalifornia
Overallโ€”58%
Passingโ€”89%
Rushingโ€”0%
Receivingโ€”43%

The read

  • A total of 65.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

WagnerpercentileCalifornia

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)12
โ€”Success rate12
โ€”Explosiveness74
โ€”Points per trip11

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed48
โ€”Success rate allowed75
โ€”Havoc28
โ€”Stuff rate14

Last three seasons

Wagner

1-2 ATS ยท 0-3 SU

1-2 O/U ยท 1-2 away

California

11-13 ATS ยท 11-13 SU

8-14-2 O/U ยท 5-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 58.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 65.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total65.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -58.5 and the total at 65.5 across 20 checks between Sep 18 โ€“ Sep 19. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.