Sat, Oct 3 · 7:40 PM ET
Washington at USC
USC favored by 7.5 · total 58.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
WashingtonHuskies
Away · Big Ten
+7.5
+260
ML
USCTrojans
Home · Big Ten
-7.5
-325
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Washington | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 54% | 59% |
| Passing | 94% | 91% |
| Rushing | 52% | 78% |
| Receiving | 34% | 27% |
The read
- At 7.5 the line sits just past 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -9.5 to -7.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.6 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Washington
10-13 ATS · 13-10 SU
10-13 O/U · 2-7 away
USC
11-13 ATS · 14-10 SU
12-12 O/U · 7-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 7.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 58.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies USC -3.9 versus the market's -7.5 — a 3.6-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-9.5 → -7.5+2.0
Total
57.5 → 58.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.