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Sat, Sep 26 ยท 3:30 PM ET

William & Mary at Duke

Duke favored by 43.5 ยท total 61.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

William & MaryTribe

Away ยท Patriot

+43.5

โ€”

ML

DukeBlue Devils

Home ยท ACC

-43.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadWilliam & Mary +43.5โ€”
SpreadDuke -43.5โ€”
TotalOver 61.5โ€”
TotalUnder 61.5โ€”

Returning production

William & MaryDuke
Overallโ€”17%
Passingโ€”4%
Rushingโ€”43%
Receivingโ€”20%

The read

  • A total of 61.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

William & MarypercentileDuke

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)80
โ€”Success rate53
โ€”Explosiveness80
โ€”Points per trip82

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed59
โ€”Success rate allowed62
โ€”Havoc60
โ€”Stuff rate58

Last three seasons

William & Mary

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 0-1 away

Duke

14-8-2 ATS ยท 16-8 SU

14-10 O/U ยท 6-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 43.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 61.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total61.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-43.5 โ†’ -43.5unmoved

Total

60.5 โ†’ 61.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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