Sat, Oct 17 Β· 7:30 PM ET
Wisconsin at UCLA
UCLA favored by 2.5 Β· total 42.5

WisconsinBadgers
Away Β· Big Ten
+2.5
-105
+120
ML

UCLABruins
Home Β· Big Ten
-2.5
-115
-142
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β or as well β and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Wisconsin | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31% | 57% |
| Passing | -500%* | 55% |
| Rushing | 32% | 86% |
| Receiving | 34% | 34% |
* Outside 0β100% on purpose β production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props Β· 26 players
Passing yards
Rushing yards
Receiving yards
+1 more receiving yards ladders
Anytime TD
+18 more anytime td ladders
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Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β these are the market's numbers.
The read
- At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -3.5 to -2.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 3, changing the result in 5.4% of historical games.
- A total of 42.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Wisconsin
8-13 ATS Β· 6-15 SU
6-15 O/U Β· 3-5 away
UCLA
9-13 ATS Β· 7-15 SU
9-13 O/U Β· 3-9 home
A record, not a signal β we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 2.5 β the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time β a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6β51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 42.5 β this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time β a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2β50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β see every band.
SP+ team strength Β· 2026
SP+ implies UCLA -3.7 versus the market's -2.5 β a 1.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick β tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-3.5 β -2.5+1.0
Total
46.5 β 42.5-4.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.