BOBBY'SSPORTS ANALYTICS
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NBA

Mon, Oct 26 · 7:30 PM ET

DAL logoDALDallas Mavericks1-2 · 2026-27
@
MIA logoMIAMiami Heat0-3 · 2026-27

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat preview

Model win prob.MIA 58%

Model: our NBA season simulator (50,000 simulated seasons, run nightly). Not betting odds.

Numbers to know

  • 1MIA has lost its last 4 games (2026-27 & 2025-26, incl. playoffs).
  • 2DAL has scored 120+ points in 3 of its last 5 games.
  • 3The last 4 meetings are split 2–2 (since the 2024-25 season, incl. playoffs).
DAL logo

DAL recent form

Last 5 games played (2026-27 & 2025-26, incl. playoffs)

  • L10/24vs SAS logo SAS106–122
  • W10/23@ IND logo IND121–105
  • L10/21@ HOU logo HOU110–128
  • W4/12vs CHI logo CHI149–128
  • L4/10@ SAS logo SAS120–139
MIA logo

MIA recent form

Last 5 games played (2026-27 & 2025-26, incl. playoffs)

  • L10/24@ CHA logo CHA110–115
  • L10/23vs DET logo DET111–128
  • L10/21vs MIN logo MIN106–131
  • L4/14@ CHA logo CHA126–127Play-in
  • W4/12vs ATL logo ATL143–117

Key players

Cooper Flagg

DAL

Cooper Flagg

21.0 PTS · 6.7 REB · 4.5 AST per game

2025-26 regular season · 70 games

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIA

Giannis Antetokounmpo

27.6 PTS · 9.8 REB · 5.4 AST per game

2025-26 regular season · 36 games (with MIL)

NBA: the top scorer per game on the current roster over the latest regular season in our logs (2025-26; min. 20 games).

Head to head

DAL 2 – 2 MIA · last 4

Meetings since the 2024-25 season, incl. playoffs.

  • 12/3/25MIA 108 @ DAL 118
  • 11/24/25DAL 102 @ MIA 106
  • 2/13/25MIA 113 @ DAL 118
  • 11/24/24DAL 118 @ MIA 123

All numbers come from our own schedule and game-log tables; each section states its window. Results our logs can't settle reliably (e.g. a tied run or goal sum) show as “–” and are left out of streaks. Not betting advice.