Thunder @ Mavericks preview | Bobby's Sports Analytics

All NBA previews

NBA

Wed, Oct 28 · 9:30 PM ET

OKCOklahoma City Thunder2-0 · 2026-27

DALDallas Mavericks1-2 · 2026-27

Model win prob.OKC 71%

Model: our NBA season simulator (50,000 simulated seasons, run nightly). Not betting odds.

Numbers to know

1DAL has scored 120+ points in 3 of its last 5 games.
2Last meeting: OKC beat DAL 100–87 — Mar 1, 2026.

OKC recent form

Last 5 games played (2026-27 & 2025-26, incl. playoffs)

W10/22vs DEN96–84
W10/20@ SAS116–104
L5/30vs SAS103–111Playoffs
L5/28@ SAS91–118Playoffs
W5/26vs SAS127–114Playoffs

DAL recent form

Last 5 games played (2026-27 & 2025-26, incl. playoffs)

L10/24vs SAS106–122
W10/23@ IND121–105
L10/21@ HOU110–128
W4/12vs CHI149–128
L4/10@ SAS120–139

Key players

OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

31.1 PTS · 4.3 REB · 6.6 AST per game

2025-26 regular season · 68 games

DAL

Cooper Flagg

21.0 PTS · 6.7 REB · 4.5 AST per game

2025-26 regular season · 70 games

NBA: the top scorer per game on the current roster over the latest regular season in our logs (2025-26; min. 20 games).

Head to head

OKC 3 – 2 DAL · last 5

Meetings since the 2024-25 season, incl. playoffs.

3/1/26OKC 100 @ DAL 87
12/5/25DAL 111 @ OKC 132
10/27/25OKC 101 @ DAL 94
1/23/25DAL 121 @ OKC 115
1/17/25OKC 98 @ DAL 106

All numbers come from our own schedule and game-log tables; each section states its window. Results our logs can't settle reliably (e.g. a tied run or goal sum) show as “–” and are left out of streaks. Not betting advice.