NRFI Picks — Wednesday, September 23, 2026

16 games scored before first pitch. 14 graded · leans went 4-3

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
CIN @ ATLAndrew Abbott vs Chris Sale74Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
TB @ NYYIan Seymour vs Gerrit Cole71Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
CLE @ BOSFoster Griffin vs Sonny Gray70Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
MIL @ PHILogan Henderson vs Aaron Nola69Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
SD @ LADRobbie Ray vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto67Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
MIA @ CHCRyan Gusto vs Kevin Gausman60Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
NYM @ TEXNolan McLean vs TBD60Toss-up0 runspush
STL @ PITMatthew Liberatore vs Lake Bachar58Toss-up0 runspush
TOR @ BALTBD vs TBD55Toss-up3 runspush
TOR @ BALTBD vs TBD55Toss-up0 runspush
MIN @ SFConnor Prielipp vs Cesar Perdomo54Toss-up0 runspush
LAA @ OAKWalbert Ureña vs Jeffrey Springs50Toss-up—pending
HOU @ SEAEthan Pecko vs George Kirby49Toss-up0 runspush
WSH @ DETRichard Lovelady vs Framber Valdez44Toss-up0 runspush
CHW @ KCBryan Hudson vs Seth Lugo36Lean YRFI—pending
ARI @ COLMerrill Kelly vs Mason Adams9Strong YRFI4 runs✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.