NRFI Picks — Sunday, September 27, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 12 graded · leans went 2-5

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
TB @ PHINick Martinez vs Zack Wheeler81Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
STL @ MILAndre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski77Strong NRFI3 runs✗ miss
ARI @ SDMichael Soroka vs Randy Vásquez70Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CLE @ KCParker Messick vs Daniel Lynch IV65Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
PIT @ DETJared Jones vs River Ryan65Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
ATL @ MIAJR Ritchie vs Janson Junk60Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHC @ BOSTBD vs TBD53Toss-up3 runspush
BAL @ NYYShane Baz vs Elmer Rodríguez51Toss-up—pending
LAA @ SEAYusei Kikuchi vs Logan Gilbert49Toss-up0 runspush
LAD @ SFTBD vs Carson Seymour49Toss-up0 runspush
NYM @ WSHSean Manaea vs DJ Herz47Toss-up2 runspush
TEX @ MINMacKenzie Gore vs Dean Kremer43Toss-up1 runpush
HOU @ OAKPeter Lambert vs Seth Johnson35Lean YRFI—pending
CIN @ TORBrandon Williamson vs Max Scherzer28Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
COL @ CHWKyle Freeland vs Anthony Kay20Strong YRFI—pending

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.