Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

DETPistons·Forward·#55
Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Duncan Robinson has been steady, averaging 13.8 points over his last 5 games (14.4 L10). His playing time has been volatile (30 MPG, ±6.1), adding uncertainty to all props. 3-Pointers is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 1.5).

Today's Props

Over 4.5

3PM+3790
Hit Rate40%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

2

Over 3.5

3PM+1710
Hit Rate70%
EV-16%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

47%

L20

40%

2

Over 1.5

3PM-4120
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

85%

4

Under 2.5

3PM+1050

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 48.8% at +105 → -1.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-2%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

4

Over 2.5

3PM-1390

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 58.2% at -139 → -10.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%
EV-10%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

4

Under 12.5

PTS-1030

Pinnacle no-vig 48.5% vs DraftKings implied 50.7% at -103 → -4.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-4%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

47%

L20

45%

4

Over 19.5

PTS+4060
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

Over 14.5

PTS+1300
Hit Rate50%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

40%

2

Over 11.5

PTS-1600
Hit Rate80%
EV-11%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

4

Over 9.5

PTS-2760
Hit Rate90%
EV-8%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

4

Over 7.5

PTS-5540
Hit Rate90%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

90%

4

Over 12.5

PTS-1240

Pinnacle no-vig 51.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.4% at -124 → -7.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

53%

L20

55%

4

Over 17.5

PTS+2570
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Under 15.5

PtsReb-1100
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

40%

2

Over 24.5

PtsReb+5710
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Over 19.5

PtsReb+1990
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-6400
Hit Rate90%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

4

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1550
Hit Rate80%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

2

Over 15.5

PtsReb-1190
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

2

Over 4.5

REB+4080
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

8

Over 3.5

REB+1830
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

8

Under 2.5

REB-1020
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

5

Over 2.5

REB-1300
Hit Rate40%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

5

Over 0.5

STL-1690
Hit Rate70%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

3

Over 1.5

STL+2730
Hit Rate50%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs PHI History

Avg PTS

11.0

Avg REB

2.0

Avg AST

2.0

DateW/LPTSREBASTMIN
Apr 4W112223

Recent Game Log

Oct 23DET @ MIAW

PTS

17

REB

1

AST

2

3PM

5

Oct 20DET vs. BOSW

PTS

21

REB

2

AST

2

3PM

5

May 17DET vs. CLEL

PTS

13

REB

1

AST

1

3PM

3

May 15DET @ CLEW

PTS

14

REB

2

AST

2

3PM

4

May 11DET @ CLEL

PTS

4

REB

1

AST

1

3PM

1

May 9DET @ CLEL

PTS

15

REB

3

AST

4

3PM

4

May 7DET vs. CLEW

PTS

17

REB

3

AST

3

3PM

5

May 5DET vs. CLEW

PTS

19

REB

0

AST

2

3PM

5

May 3DET vs. ORLW

PTS

10

REB

6

AST

3

3PM

2

May 1DET @ ORLW

PTS

14

REB

5

AST

3

3PM

4

Apr 29DET vs. ORLW

PTS

12

REB

3

AST

1

3PM

3

Apr 27DET @ ORLL

PTS

7

REB

1

AST

0

3PM

1

Apr 25DET @ ORLL

PTS

10

REB

0

AST

3

3PM

3

Apr 22DET vs. ORLW

PTS

10

REB

6

AST

3

3PM

3

Apr 19DET vs. ORLL

PTS

9

REB

0

AST

4

3PM

3

Apr 12DET @ INDW

PTS

9

REB

2

AST

2

3PM

1

Apr 10DET @ CHAW

PTS

19

REB

3

AST

1

3PM

3

Apr 8DET vs. MILW

PTS

20

REB

1

AST

3

3PM

4

Apr 4DET @ PHIW

PTS

11

REB

2

AST

2

3PM

3

Apr 2DET vs. MINW

PTS

15

REB

4

AST

3

3PM

3