CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Air Force
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate83th pct.
Explosiveness2th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed70th pct.
Havoc rate35th pct.
Nevada
Offensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Offensive success rate26th pct.
Explosiveness75th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)38th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed68th pct.
Havoc rate8th pct.
Air Force · Returning production
Overall (PPA)57.4%
Passing101.7%
Rushing69.7%
Receiving12.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-13 · O/U 11-11 · avg. margin -5.0
Nevada · Returning production
Overall (PPA)35.5%
Passing-130.0%
Rushing-11.8%
Receiving41.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-11-2 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin -8.2
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Air Force 36–33 Nevada
2024Air Force 22–19 Nevada
2022Nevada 20–48 Air Force
2021Air Force 41–39 Nevada
2018Nevada 28–25 Air Force
2017Air Force 45–42 Nevada
Venue & conditions
Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV
73°F · 20.5 mph wind · 8% precip. chance