CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)84th pct.
Offensive success rate77th pct.
Explosiveness79th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)79th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed75th pct.
Havoc rate78th pct.
Mississippi State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)66th pct.
Offensive success rate76th pct.
Explosiveness49th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)31th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed12th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)26.4%
Passing12.3%
Rushing-66.9%
Receiving41.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 10-17 · avg. margin +10.9
Mississippi State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)33.9%
Passing-0.2%
Rushing87.3%
Receiving27.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin -6.5
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Alabama 56–23 Mississippi State
2023Alabama 40–17 Mississippi State
2022Mississippi State 6–30 Alabama
2021Alabama 49–9 Mississippi State
2020Mississippi State 0–41 Alabama
2019Alabama 38–7 Mississippi State
Venue & conditions
Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS
90°F · 8.5 mph wind · 15% precip. chance