CFB
Arkansas State
4-4
@Sat, Oct 17 · 7:05 PM ET
Southern Miss
2-5
USM +5.5·O/U 61.5

Where they rank

Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.

Arkansas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Offensive success rate74th pct.
Explosiveness14th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate5th pct.
Southern Miss
Offensive efficiency (PPA)20th pct.
Offensive success rate39th pct.
Explosiveness47th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed29th pct.
Havoc rate9th pct.
Arkansas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)30.0%
Passing7.2%
Rushing-246.3%
Receiving54.2%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 13-10 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.9

Southern Miss · Returning production
Overall (PPA)90.2%
Passing97.4%
Rushing101.9%
Receiving81.9%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -12.8

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings
2026Arkansas State 23–13 Southern Miss
2025Southern Miss 27–21 Arkansas State
2024Arkansas State 44–28 Southern Miss
2023Southern Miss 37–44 Arkansas State
2022Arkansas State 19–20 Southern Miss

Venue & conditions

M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS

71°F · 16.3 mph wind · 0% precip. chance