CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Arkansas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Offensive success rate74th pct.
Explosiveness14th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate5th pct.
TCU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Offensive success rate35th pct.
Explosiveness74th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed92th pct.
Havoc rate68th pct.
Arkansas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)30.0%
Passing7.2%
Rushing-246.3%
Receiving54.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.9
TCU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)22.4%
Passing11.0%
Rushing31.3%
Receiving29.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11-1 · O/U 13-11-1 · avg. margin +5.6
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings2026Arkansas State 7–31 TCU
Venue & conditions
Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX
97°F · 29.1 mph wind · 42% precip. chance