CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Baylor
Offensive efficiency (PPA)33th pct.
Offensive success rate7th pct.
Explosiveness95th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed89th pct.
Havoc rate91th pct.
Arizona State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)24th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness37th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)33th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed38th pct.
Havoc rate35th pct.
Baylor · Returning production
Overall (PPA)60.2%
Passing77.7%
Rushing67.7%
Receiving46.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-14 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin +1.6
Arizona State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)15.5%
Passing5.4%
Rushing-4.8%
Receiving30.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 18-6-1 · O/U 13-12 · avg. margin +5.9
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Baylor 55–19 Arizona State
2025Arizona State 27–24 Baylor
Venue & conditions
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
98°F · 19.8 mph wind · 0% precip. chance