CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Boise State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)92th pct.
Offensive success rate85th pct.
Explosiveness48th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)57th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed78th pct.
Havoc rate78th pct.
Fresno State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Offensive success rate33th pct.
Explosiveness59th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)66th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate41th pct.
Boise State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing94.3%
Rushing100.4%
Receiving39.6%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 12-15 · avg. margin +9.3
Fresno State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)38.3%
Passing7.3%
Rushing16.6%
Receiving69.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-11-1 · O/U 8-16 · avg. margin +3.4
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Boise State 38–31 Fresno State
2025Fresno State 30–7 Boise State
2023Boise State 30–37 Fresno State
2022Fresno State 28–16 Boise State
2022Fresno State 20–40 Boise State
2021Boise State 40–14 Fresno State
Venue & conditions
Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA
71°F · 18.1 mph wind · 5% precip. chance