CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Buffalo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)16th pct.
Offensive success rate4th pct.
Explosiveness26th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)51th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed72th pct.
Havoc rate57th pct.
Penn State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)42th pct.
Offensive success rate30th pct.
Explosiveness50th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed60th pct.
Havoc rate69th pct.
Buffalo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)-0.8%
Passing9.4%
Rushing9.0%
Receiving-7.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-12-1 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin -0.8
Penn State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)7.6%
Passing3.3%
Rushing-1.6%
Receiving14.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-15 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +13.1
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Buffalo 13–55 Penn State
2019Buffalo 13–45 Penn State
Venue & conditions
Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA
71°F · 4.6 mph wind · 15% precip. chance