CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Buffalo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)16th pct.
Offensive success rate4th pct.
Explosiveness26th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)51th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed72th pct.
Havoc rate57th pct.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness85th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)83th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed96th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
Buffalo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)-0.8%
Passing9.4%
Rushing9.0%
Receiving-7.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-12-1 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin -0.8
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Buffalo 23–8 Toledo
2024Toledo 15–30 Buffalo
2023Buffalo 13–31 Toledo
2022Toledo 27–34 Buffalo
2019Toledo 30–49 Buffalo
2018Buffalo 31–17 Toledo
Venue & conditions
Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
81°F · 10.1 mph wind · 3% precip. chance