CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
California
Offensive efficiency (PPA)7th pct.
Offensive success rate8th pct.
Explosiveness64th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed65th pct.
Havoc rate14th pct.
SMU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Offensive success rate86th pct.
Explosiveness57th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)58th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed73th pct.
Havoc rate88th pct.
California · Returning production
Overall (PPA)58.3%
Passing88.7%
Rushing0.0%
Receiving43.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-13 · O/U 8-14-2 · avg. margin -1.6
SMU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)56.9%
Passing96.6%
Rushing0.9%
Receiving37.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin +11.5
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026California 20–59 SMU
2025SMU 35–38 California
2024California 6–38 SMU
Venue & conditions
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX
82°F · 7.6 mph wind · 0% precip. chance