CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Duke
Offensive efficiency (PPA)76th pct.
Offensive success rate47th pct.
Explosiveness75th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)55th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed54th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
Illinois
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate88th pct.
Explosiveness63th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)2th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed12th pct.
Havoc rate7th pct.
Duke · Returning production
Overall (PPA)17.1%
Passing4.1%
Rushing43.2%
Receiving20.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8-2 · O/U 14-10 · avg. margin +3.0
Illinois · Returning production
Overall (PPA)21.1%
Passing3.2%
Rushing34.2%
Receiving31.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-7-1 · O/U 8-14 · avg. margin +1.6
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Duke 31–27 Illinois
2025Illinois 45–19 Duke
Venue & conditions
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) · Champaign, IL
87°F · 8.3 mph wind · 6% precip. chance