CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Florida State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Offensive success rate56th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)9th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed21th pct.
Havoc rate30th pct.
Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)84th pct.
Offensive success rate77th pct.
Explosiveness79th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)79th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed75th pct.
Havoc rate78th pct.
Florida State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)40.1%
Passing12.5%
Rushing28.2%
Receiving65.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-15 · O/U 7-16 · avg. margin -4.0
Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)26.4%
Passing12.3%
Rushing-66.9%
Receiving41.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 10-17 · avg. margin +10.9
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026Florida State 36–50 Alabama
2025Alabama 17–31 Florida State
2017Florida State 7–24 Alabama
Venue & conditions
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL
99°F · 6 mph wind · 18% precip. chance