CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Florida State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Offensive success rate56th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)9th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed21th pct.
Havoc rate30th pct.
Louisville
Offensive efficiency (PPA)89th pct.
Offensive success rate82th pct.
Explosiveness98th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed41th pct.
Havoc rate43th pct.
Florida State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)40.1%
Passing12.5%
Rushing28.2%
Receiving65.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-15 · O/U 7-16 · avg. margin -4.0
Louisville · Returning production
Overall (PPA)34.8%
Passing0.0%
Rushing84.6%
Receiving18.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin +7.2
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Florida State 20–44 Louisville
2023Louisville 6–16 Florida State
2022Florida State 35–31 Louisville
2021Louisville 31–23 Florida State
2020Florida State 16–48 Louisville
2019Louisville 24–35 Florida State
Venue & conditions
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY
85°F · 6.5 mph wind · 1% precip. chance